Firm predicts it will cost $28 billion to build a 2nm fab and $30,000 per wafer, a 50 percent increase in chipmaking costs as complexity rises
Firm predicts it will cost $28 billion to build a 2nm fab and $30,000 per wafer, a 50 percent increase in chipmaking costs as complexity rises
12 Comments
Just cross those fingers and hope for an Intel redemption story, for real. We need the competition.
Given that we’re on 5-7nm for most things right now, I don’t think this is an immediate worry.
Insane. And chipsmakers would do everything to be the tech leader
Or, here is the pre-release narrative we are putting out now to justify a 100% increase in CPU costs in 3 years time from the company that runs the Japanese stock market index…
I disagree with the post, but I love the write up
Now please release info about this firm and who asked for this prediction.
I will bet it’s someone who will profit off higher cpu prices lol
Scientific talk here,
When you are fabricating big transistors(50nm things), there’s isn’t much effect of Magnetism due to bunch of electrons moving in different directions
But when you start making the transistors smaller like 4-5nm process, which is equivalent to 5-20 Atom Width(1nm is 10 Å, size of a Hydrogen atom is 0.529 Å approx), charge attraction and repulsions become a pain in ass
Plus let alone be the R&D required to design a method to make such small connections in a Format that it makes a processor…
If you try to understand the complexity of the system, one will realise that what we pay to buy Processors is far too less according to complexity of the design, sole credit for prices goes to Mass Manufacturing
However I have no idea on how many times price increase
What’s the point. Surely this is the last stop if we haven’t reached it already. Isn’t quantum computing the new thing anyway
Bla bla bla where 6 ghz cpu and 4ghz gpu.
So a week of military budget?
IPhone 17 Pro Max bout to be $2500.
TSMCs N3 and Intel 3 are important nodes for both – they’re both fabs’ last FINFET nodes. They’re going to be ordered by customers for a while, and future nodes with GAAFET are going to be costly.