Data from 789 contracts. What to expect from contracts in each zone.

Hi all! About 3 weeks ago, I released some data on contract rewards and have collected a lot more data since then that I have wanted to share. Say thanks to u/mangomochamuffin and to u/Barinitall for contributing this time around. I have made an updated version of spreadsheet that you can check out or you can read the rest of this post for the information. The two Detailed Stats sheets are the main thing you will want to look at if you go to the spreadsheet. It will be kind of a long post if you chose to read it here.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16mnS9qLmQygoN_fKCOYboQXz7lftV2gxv-_3OGxH-7g/edit

Looting up is an important part of the mode and knowing what you are getting from contracts may influence the decisions you make in game. That is why I decided to make this spreadsheet for other players to look at.

When I say “loot” items in this post, this means any items that are not schematics, sigils, or guarenteed solo self-revive kits. I have data on 275 Medium Threat Zone (MTZ) contract rifts, 388 High Threat Zone (HTZ) rifts, 82 regular Dark Aether (DA) rifts, and 44 elder DA rifts. This data less likely to be accurate on items that we have collected a small amount of so keep that in mind. I will focus on MTZ and HTZ first and then focus on DA after.

First thing to talk about is the amount of rewards you get from each zone. You can obtain up to 3 loot items in a contract rift. Schematics, sigils, and guarenteed solo self-revive kits are all independent from these loot items, meaning you can obtain up to 6 items in a rift if you are lucky. The average amount of loot items you can obtain varies from zone to zone.

In the MTZ, the average is 1.71. For the HTZ, the average is 2.16 which is quite a bit higher. That is about a 26% increase in rewards going from the MTZ to HTZ.

Now, let’s talk about the chances of getting certain items. I am going to talk about perks, tools, crystals, wonder weapons, weapon cases, and main loadout items (vest, bag, self).

You have about 29.34% chance in the MTZ for each loot items slot (not the odd of getting one from a contract) to get a perk can. In the HTZ, this is 26.01%. Don’t be fooled by these odds. In 20 contracts, you will get about 10 cans in the MTZ and 11 HTZ just due to the fact the you get more items in HTZ. So, you get more can perk cans in the HTZ.

For tools, the MTZ has about a 18.87% drop rate and the HTZ has about 17.18%. They are most likely actually the same and rng is making the percentages look that way. When it comes to the types of tools, it is overwhelmingly uncommon aether tools in the MTZ. About 51.11% of tools are uncommon in the MTZ and I have a 0% drop rate in HTZ. If you ever hear anyone say something like “Tier 3 isnt worth it, all I get is a bunch green tools in tier 3,” tell them they are full of it because I have 838 loot items written down for that zone and not a single one was an uncommon aether tool. They probably dont drop in that zone at all unless your game glitches out.

For rare aether tools, the drop rates are about 37.78% and 72.22% for the MTZ and HTZ respectively.

Epic and legendary tools are the things I’d assume are more desirable to people and their drop rates are quite low in MTZ and somewhat decent in the HTZ. For epics, the drop rates are about 10% and 23.61% for MTZ and HTZ respectively. To put this into perspective, that is an epic tool about every 53 loot items (about 31 contracts) in MTZ or 25 loot items (between 11 and 12 contracts) in HTZ. Legendary aether tools have a 1.11% drop rate in MTZ and 4.17% in HTZ. If you are farming HTZ contracts, you should hope to walk away with an epic tool and you will be lucky to get a legendary.

For crystals, the drop rates are 7.76% for MTZ and 7.88% for HTZ. The are probably actually the same. For the types of tools, you will mostly get raw crystals in both zones. For raw crystals, 81.08% were raw crystals in the MTZ and 72.73% for the HTZ. We have 16.22% of the crystals being for refined crystals in MTZ and 24.24% for the HTZ. This leaves 2.7% and 3.03% for flawless crystals in the MTZ and HTZ. To give you an idea, this is about 1 in 79 loot items (about 49 contracts) being refined crystals in MTZ and about 1 in 52 loot items (about 24 contracts) for HTZ.

If you are trying to get 3-Plate Vest or Large Bag, your odds are about 1% for each in the MTZ per loot item. For the HTZ, the odds are close to 3% for the vest and close to 4% for the bag. This makes the HTZ a somewhat viable option if you are a group trying to get one of your teammates a vest or bag. Self-Revive Kits have a 7.55% drop rate in MTZ and 6.21% in HTZ for those interested. I won’t touch on killstreaks.

Wonder weapons are pretty rare. The weapons themselves seem to have roughly a 0.6% drop rate in both zones. Weapon cases did not drop in the MTZ so the drop rate is probably extremely low if it is not zero. In HTZ, the drop rate for cases was 0.24%.

If you curious about schematics, they are contract based. The rates I have are about 10.18% and 6.96% for MTZ and HTZ.

Sigils drop at about a 31.96% drop rate in HTZ.

Let’s talk about the DA now. The DA is great for getting the most loot items. I originally had one rift written down where i got two items but now I can’t help but think that I made a mistake or the game just bugged out. I have removed it from the spreadsheet. Every other contract in the dark aether (regular and elder) has given 3 loot items which gives me reason to believe that 3 is supposed to be guarenteed. Items that seem to not be in the loot pool are vests, bags, killstreaks, uncommon aether tools, and rare aether tools.

When it comes to classified acquisitions, I have a theory on them and the data will only support it. In regular DA, whether or not you get one is determined by the contract and not by reward slot. You can only obtain one per contract, if you obtain one at all. The rate at which you obtain one per contract is 51.22% (most likely it is actually 50%). When you obtain one, it will take the place of a loot reward slot. This carries into the elder DA but at a 100% rate instead.

These next results will exclude classifieds so take note of that.

The drop rate for tools is 31.37% for regular DA and 17.05% for elder per reward slot. It is possible that one is skewed by good luck and/or the other skewed by bad luck so keep this in mind. Data is also very limited here so keep that in mind as well. In regular DA, about 95% are epic and the rest are legendary. In elder DA, about 87% are epic and the rest legendary.

For crystals, we have 29.58% for regular and 25.41% for elder. Of these crystals, we have 40.74% for regular DA and 41.67% for elder being raw crystals. We have 44.44% and 50% for refined crystals. And finally, we have 14.81% and 8.33% for flawless crystals.

Elder Sigils are contract based and drop at about a 30% rate in both zones for those interested.

If anyone wants to be a contributor, let me know. I am going to continue updating this.